Analyzing the Texans’ Free Agency Prospects: Key Players and Their Chances of Returning

Monday marks the kickoff of the NFL free agency frenzy, starting at 11 a.m. Teams will have the opportunity to engage with free agents from other teams. With the highest number of free agents in the NFL, the Texans face numerous roster gaps to address. However, until Monday, they retain exclusive rights to negotiate with their own free agents.

Head Coach DeMeco Ryans has the Houston Texans playing their best football  at the best possible time

The Texans initiated the process of retaining key players from last season’s 10-7 division championship team, starting with tight end Dalton Schultz signing a three-year, $36 million contract to stay with the Texans in 2024. While approximately two dozen free agents could potentially return, six stand out as particularly significant. Let’s delve into their chances of returning:

Jonathan Greenard, DE, Age 26
Greenard is expected to draw considerable interest as one of the premier free agent edge rushers, especially with other notable players receiving franchise tags. His impressive 12.5 sacks last season and overall performance make him a hot commodity, possibly commanding a contract exceeding $20 million annually.
Odds of return: 33 percent

Devin Singletary, RB, Age 26
Singletary, initially brought in to complement Dameon Pierce, emerged as a primary running back due to Pierce’s struggles. DeMeco Ryans appears keen on retaining Singletary, likely on another one-year deal.
Odds of return: 80 percent

Steven Nelson, CB, Age 31
Nelson’s demand for a contract adjustment during training camp was met with incentive bonuses. After an impressive season, age might limit his market value, increasing the likelihood of him returning to Houston.
Odds of return: 45 percent

Sheldon Rankins, DT, Age 29
Rankins, who performed well on a one-year deal in the previous season, may return depending on the Texans’ decision regarding splurging on a star defensive interior player.
Odds of return: 25 percent

Cameron Johnston, P, Age 32
Johnston’s impact on field position was evident, and his absence due to injury was sorely felt. The Texans may prioritize retaining his services.
Odds of return: 60 percent

Blake Cashman, LB, Age 27
Cashman’s evolution from a special teams ace to a standout linebacker in 2023 makes him a valuable asset. However, his rising value in the market could pose a challenge for the Texans.
Odds of return: 33 percent

As the Texans navigate the free agency landscape, these players represent pivotal decisions in shaping the team’s future.

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